Valuation · 12 min read
What buyers actually look at, what brokers tell you, and where the two often diverge.
Most scrap and auto yard owners we talk to have heard a number from somebody — a competitor, a broker, an industry friend. The number is almost always either too high or too low, and usually for the same reason: whoever produced it skipped one of the four things that actually drive a transaction price.
This is a practical guide to those four things, written for owners who are starting to think about a sale and want to understand the math before they sit down with anyone.
Nearly every scrap or auto yard sale is priced as a multiple of normalized EBITDA — earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, adjusted to reflect what a new owner would actually earn.
"Normalized" is doing a lot of work in that sentence. It is also where the most disagreement happens between sellers and buyers. The largest normalization adjustments we see, in roughly the order they affect price:
Multiples in the scrap and auto recycling trade have been compressed for decades by the cyclicality of the business and the limited universe of buyers. The ranges we typically see — and these are illustrative, not promises — look something like this:
Brokers tend to quote ranges 1–2 turns higher than what the market actually transacts at, because they are pitching you on a listing rather than telling you what your business will sell for. Multiples north of 7x for a $2M EBITDA yard are rare and usually carry an earnout or seller financing component that significantly reduces the certain part of the proceeds.
For most scrap and auto yards, the real estate is a meaningful — sometimes dominant — portion of the total transaction value. Three things determine how the real estate is handled:
Almost every deal closes with a "target working capital" — an agreed level of receivables, inventory, and payables that comes with the business at no extra charge. Anything above that target, you keep. Anything below, you give back.
For yards, the working capital target is usually calculated as a trailing 12-month average. Sellers who normalize their working capital downward in the months before close — by collecting fast, paying slow, and running down inventory — capture more value at closing. This is legitimate and expected. Buyers do the math on it.
Equipment value gets baked into either the EBITDA multiple (if you treat the business as a going concern) or the real estate (if some equipment is fixed to the property). The two errors we see most often:
Suppose you run a single-location scrap yard. Last year you reported $400K of pretax income, paid yourself $300K in salary plus another $150K in K-1 distributions, ran $80K of personal expenses through the business, and depreciated $200K of equipment. You own the real estate personally and the business pays you $120K/year of rent. Fair-market rent for the property would be $90K.
Reported pretax income: $400K. Add back depreciation: +$200K. EBITDA: $600K. Now normalize: add back owner comp above market GM ($300K + $150K + $80K = $530K total, less $200K market GM = +$330K). Subtract above-market rent (-$30K). Normalized EBITDA: $900K.
At a 4.0x multiple, the business is worth ~$3.6M. Add real estate at appraised value (let's say $1.8M). Add working capital above target (say $200K). Total at-close consideration: ~$5.6M.
That is a back-of-the-envelope, not a quote. The exact number depends on dozens of details. But it is a more useful starting point than "I heard yards are going for 6x" or "a broker told me $8M."
Three things are worth doing — quietly, on your own — before you start a serious conversation with any buyer:
The number on the wire is the only number that matters. A 6x offer with a $1M earnout, 30% seller note at 4%, and a $500K escrow hold-back is not the same as a 4.5x all-cash offer at close — even if the headline numbers look similar.
When you evaluate any offer, look at certain cash at close, then everything else. The contingent parts often look better on paper than they perform in practice.
We don't quote ranges blind. But a 30-minute confidential conversation, with no NDA and no commitment, can give you a much sharper sense of what your business would actually trade at — and whether the conversation is worth continuing.
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